Odense vs Silkeborg
- Odense49%
- Draw26%
- Silkeborg25%
1.77 expected goals for Odense
1.15 expected goals for Silkeborg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Odense has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Silkeborg win at 25%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Odense defence, which lets in 48% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Odense attack, which scores 66% more goals than an average team. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.1 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Odense
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Odense attack+66%
- Silkeborg defence−29%
Expected goals1.77
Silkeborg
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Silkeborg attack+63%
- Odense defence−48%
Expected goals1.15
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
- Over 3.5 goals33%
- Over 4.5 goals17%
- Both teams score58%
- Odense or draw75%
- Draw or Silkeborg51%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.9 for Odense and 4.2 for Silkeborg
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.6 expected
1.6 for Odense and 2.0 for Silkeborg
- Over 3.5 cards48%
- Over 4.5 cards29%
- Over 5.5 cards16%
Shots
26.0 expected
14.8 for Odense and 11.2 for Silkeborg
- Over 20.5 shots78%
- Over 22.5 shots67%
- Over 24.5 shots56%
Fouls
23.8 expected
13.3 for Odense and 10.4 for Silkeborg
- Over 20.5 fouls72%
- Over 22.5 fouls58%
- Over 24.5 fouls43%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.