Final score
Santa Fe0-2Once Caldas
The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Santa Fe win (45%).
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
- Santa Fe45%
- Draw30%
- Once Caldas25%
1.23 expected goals for Santa Fe
0.96 expected goals for Once Caldas
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Santa Fe has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Once Caldas win at 25%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals65%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals18%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen
- Both teams score48%
- Santa Fe or draw75%
- Draw or Once Caldas55%
- No draw70%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.2 for Santa Fe and 4.4 for Once Caldas
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
4.6 expected
2.3 for Santa Fe and 2.2 for Once Caldas
- Over 3.5 cards67%
- Over 4.5 cards48%
- Over 5.5 cards31%
Shots
28.2 expected
13.7 for Santa Fe and 14.5 for Once Caldas
- Over 20.5 shots85%
- Over 22.5 shots77%
- Over 24.5 shots67%
Fouls
22.0 expected
10.9 for Santa Fe and 11.0 for Once Caldas
- Over 20.5 fouls60%
- Over 22.5 fouls44%
- Over 24.5 fouls30%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is exactly what was published before the match.