Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Uruguay)

Sunday 25 October, 14:00

Final score

Cerro Largo2-0Boston River

The model's most likely result happened: a Cerro Largo win (35%).

Cerro Largo vs Boston River

  1. Cerro Largo35%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Boston River34%

1.06 expected goals for Cerro Largo

1.05 expected goals for Boston River

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 35%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals63%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals40%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals16%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.