Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Uruguay)

Sunday 25 October, 08:00

Final score

Wanderers0-1Progreso

The model gave this result 33%. Its most likely result was a Wanderers win (38%).

Wanderers vs Progreso

  1. Wanderers38%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Progreso33%

1.31 expected goals for Wanderers

1.16 expected goals for Progreso

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals43%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.