Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Uruguay)

Friday 23 October, 18:00

Final score

Defensor Sporting3-3Racing Montevideo

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Racing Montevideo win (41%).

Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo

  1. Defensor Sporting27%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Racing Montevideo41%

0.80 expected goals for Defensor Sporting

1.12 expected goals for Racing Montevideo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Racing Montevideo has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a Defensor Sporting win at 27%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals58%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals39%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals13%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals5%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.