Saturday 31 October, 15:15
Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Sport Huancayo 2
- Deportiva Agropecuaria33%
- Draw32%
- Sport Huancayo 235%
0.78 expected goals for Deportiva Agropecuaria
1.09 expected goals for Sport Huancayo 2
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 35%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Deportiva Agropecuaria attack, which scores 33% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Sport Huancayo 2 defence, which lets in 22% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Deportiva Agropecuaria
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Deportiva Agropecuaria attack−33%
- Sport Huancayo 2 defence−22%
Expected goals0.78
Sport Huancayo 2
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Sport Huancayo 2 attack−3%
- Deportiva Agropecuaria defence−17%
Expected goals1.09
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals84%
- Over 1.5 goals56%
- Over 2.5 goals39%
- Over 3.5 goals12%
- Over 4.5 goals4%
- Both teams score45%
- Deportiva Agropecuaria or draw65%
- Draw or Sport Huancayo 267%
- No draw68%
Saved before kickoff, on 30 October at 03:36 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.