Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto

Bolívar90%
Draw5%
Universitario de Vinto5%

3.19 expected goals for Bolívar

0.73 expected goals for Universitario de Vinto

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Bolívar the clear favourite: 90% to win. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
Over 3.5 goals55%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals36%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Bolívar or draw95%
Draw or Universitario de Vinto10%
No draw95%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.4 for Bolívar and 4.5 for Universitario de Vinto

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.7 expected

1.6 for Bolívar and 3.1 for Universitario de Vinto

Over 3.5 cards69%
Over 4.5 cards51%
Over 5.5 cards33%

Shots

29.8 expected

19.9 for Bolívar and 9.9 for Universitario de Vinto

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots81%
Over 24.5 shots72%

Fouls

22.6 expected

10.1 for Bolívar and 12.5 for Universitario de Vinto

Over 20.5 fouls64%
Over 22.5 fouls49%
Over 24.5 fouls34%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.