Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest

Oriente Petrolero42%
Draw25%
The Strongest33%

1.30 expected goals for Oriente Petrolero

1.59 expected goals for The Strongest

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Oriente Petrolero has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a The Strongest win at 33%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Both teams score55%
Oriente Petrolero or draw67%
Draw or The Strongest58%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.8 for Oriente Petrolero and 3.9 for The Strongest

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.9 expected

2.5 for Oriente Petrolero and 2.4 for The Strongest

Over 3.5 cards72%
Over 4.5 cards54%
Over 5.5 cards37%

Shots

25.8 expected

14.3 for Oriente Petrolero and 11.6 for The Strongest

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

29.6 expected

17.9 for Oriente Petrolero and 11.7 for The Strongest

Over 20.5 fouls94%
Over 22.5 fouls88%
Over 24.5 fouls79%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.