Sunday 25 October, 14:00
Final score
Always Ready5-1Real Oruro
The model's most likely result happened: a Always Ready win (86%).
Always Ready vs Real Oruro
- Always Ready86%
- Draw6%
- Real Oruro8%
3.34 expected goals for Always Ready
1.06 expected goals for Real Oruro
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Always Ready the clear favourite: 86% to win. It expects 4.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 12.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals71%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals64%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals45%It happened
- Both teams score57%
- Always Ready or draw93%
- Draw or Real Oruro14%
- No draw94%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
12.2 expected
6.9 for Always Ready and 5.4 for Real Oruro
- Over 8.5 corners79%
- Over 9.5 corners71%
- Over 10.5 corners62%
Cards
4.3 expected
2.0 for Always Ready and 2.4 for Real Oruro
- Over 3.5 cards63%
- Over 4.5 cards44%
- Over 5.5 cards27%
Shots
33.8 expected
22.1 for Always Ready and 11.7 for Real Oruro
- Over 20.5 shots95%
- Over 22.5 shots91%
- Over 24.5 shots85%
Fouls
25.5 expected
11.0 for Always Ready and 14.5 for Real Oruro
- Over 20.5 fouls81%
- Over 22.5 fouls69%
- Over 24.5 fouls55%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.