Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Bolivia)

Saturday 24 October, 16:15

Final score

San Antonio Bulo Bulo2-1Real Potosí

The model's most likely result happened: a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win (42%).

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Potosí

  1. San Antonio Bulo Bulo42%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Real Potosí29%

0.94 expected goals for San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.11 expected goals for Real Potosí

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

San Antonio Bulo Bulo has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Real Potosí win at 29%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals61%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.5 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 4.6 for Real Potosí

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners52%
  3. Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.8 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 2.4 for Real Potosí

  1. Over 3.5 cards61%
  2. Over 4.5 cards42%
  3. Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

28.9 expected

15.8 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 13.2 for Real Potosí

  1. Over 20.5 shots87%
  2. Over 22.5 shots80%
  3. Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

25.8 expected

11.4 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 14.4 for Real Potosí

  1. Over 20.5 fouls83%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls71%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls57%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.