Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Bolivia)

Saturday 24 October, 14:00

Final score

Gualberto Villarroel SJ2-1Blooming

The model's most likely result happened: a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win (45%).

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming

  1. Gualberto Villarroel SJ45%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Blooming28%

1.24 expected goals for Gualberto Villarroel SJ

1.35 expected goals for Blooming

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Gualberto Villarroel SJ has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Blooming win at 28%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.5 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 4.7 for Blooming

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.9 expected

2.7 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 2.2 for Blooming

  1. Over 3.5 cards72%
  2. Over 4.5 cards54%
  3. Over 5.5 cards37%

Shots

33.2 expected

17.3 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 15.9 for Blooming

  1. Over 20.5 shots95%
  2. Over 22.5 shots91%
  3. Over 24.5 shots85%

Fouls

23.9 expected

14.0 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 9.9 for Blooming

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls59%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.