Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Peru)

Monday 26 October, 11:00

Final score

Molinos El Pirata1-0Union Comercio

The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Union Comercio win (43%).

Molinos El Pirata vs Union Comercio

  1. Molinos El Pirata30%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Union Comercio43%

0.97 expected goals for Molinos El Pirata

1.62 expected goals for Union Comercio

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Union Comercio has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Molinos El Pirata win at 30%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.