Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Peru)

Saturday 24 October, 11:00

Final score

Minas1-2Ayacucho FC

The model gave this result 13%. Its most likely result was a Minas win (66%).

Minas vs Ayacucho FC

  1. Minas66%
  2. Draw21%
  3. Ayacucho FC13%

2.04 expected goals for Minas

0.86 expected goals for Ayacucho FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Minas the clear favourite: 66% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.