Tuesday 27 October, 15:00
Final score (after extra time)
Recreativo Huelva2-3Rayo Vallecano
The model gave this result 14%. Its most likely result was a Rayo Vallecano win (76%).
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano
- Recreativo Huelva10%
- Draw14%
- Rayo Vallecano76%
0.85 expected goals for Recreativo Huelva
1.95 expected goals for Rayo Vallecano
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Rayo Vallecano the clear favourite: 76% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Over 3.5 goals31%
- Over 4.5 goals15%
- Both teams score46%
- Recreativo Huelva or draw23%
- Draw or Rayo Vallecano90%
- No draw86%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.