Wednesday 28 October, 15:00
The match has started. The result will appear here once we have it (it can take a few hours).
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis
- Navalcarnero2%
- Draw9%
- Real Betis89%
0.78 expected goals for Navalcarnero
3.34 expected goals for Real Betis
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Real Betis the clear favourite: 89% to win. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%
- Over 1.5 goals92%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Over 3.5 goals59%
- Over 4.5 goals39%
- Both teams score47%
- Navalcarnero or draw11%
- Draw or Real Betis98%
- No draw91%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
5.6 for Navalcarnero and 4.3 for Real Betis
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners51%
- Over 10.5 corners41%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.5 for Navalcarnero and 2.3 for Real Betis
- Over 3.5 cards52%
- Over 4.5 cards33%
- Over 5.5 cards18%
Shots
29.5 expected
13.3 for Navalcarnero and 16.2 for Real Betis
- Over 20.5 shots89%
- Over 22.5 shots82%
- Over 24.5 shots73%
Fouls
22.3 expected
10.2 for Navalcarnero and 12.0 for Real Betis
- Over 20.5 fouls62%
- Over 22.5 fouls47%
- Over 24.5 fouls32%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.