Tuesday 27 October, 14:30
Final score (after extra time)
Don Benito2-4Extremadura 1924
The model gave this result 15%. Its most likely result was a Extremadura 1924 win (53%).
Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924
- Don Benito32%
- Draw15%
- Extremadura 192453%
1.54 expected goals for Don Benito
1.47 expected goals for Extremadura 1924
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Extremadura 1924 has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 15% and a Don Benito win at 32%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Over 3.5 goals35%
- Over 4.5 goals19%
- Both teams score50%
- Don Benito or draw47%
- Draw or Extremadura 192468%
- No draw85%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.