Probably Football

Matches

Copa del Rey (Spain)

Tuesday 27 October, 15:00

Final score

Arosa2-0Pontevedra

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a Pontevedra win (62%).

Arosa vs Pontevedra

  1. Arosa23%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Pontevedra62%

1.19 expected goals for Arosa

1.51 expected goals for Pontevedra

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Pontevedra the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.