Probably Football

Matches

Copa Paraguay (Paraguay)

Wednesday 28 October, 17:30

Final score

Sportivo Luqueno0-2Deportivo Recoleta

The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Sportivo Luqueno win (39%).

Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta

  1. Sportivo Luqueno39%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Deportivo Recoleta36%

1.58 expected goals for Sportivo Luqueno

1.61 expected goals for Deportivo Recoleta

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 11.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.8 expected

6.0 for Sportivo Luqueno and 5.8 for Deportivo Recoleta

  1. Over 8.5 corners76%
  2. Over 9.5 corners67%
  3. Over 10.5 corners58%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.5 for Sportivo Luqueno and 2.3 for Deportivo Recoleta

  1. Over 3.5 cards52%
  2. Over 4.5 cards32%
  3. Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

26.9 expected

15.5 for Sportivo Luqueno and 11.4 for Deportivo Recoleta

  1. Over 20.5 shots81%
  2. Over 22.5 shots72%
  3. Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

22.3 expected

10.0 for Sportivo Luqueno and 12.3 for Deportivo Recoleta

  1. Over 20.5 fouls62%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls47%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.