Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Friday 23 October, 13:30

Final score (on penalties)

Penicuik Athletic1-1Clyde

The model gave this result 13%. Its most likely result was a Penicuik Athletic win (47%).

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde

  1. Penicuik Athletic47%
  2. Draw13%
  3. Clyde40%

1.98 expected goals for Penicuik Athletic

1.57 expected goals for Clyde

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 47%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%
  2. Over 1.5 goals87%
  3. Over 2.5 goals71%
  4. Over 3.5 goals47%
  5. Over 4.5 goals28%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.