Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Lochee United1-2Spartans

The model's most likely result happened: a Spartans win (45%).

Lochee United vs Spartans

  1. Lochee United40%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Spartans45%

1.62 expected goals for Lochee United

1.59 expected goals for Spartans

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 45%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.