Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 06:00

Final score

Edinburgh City4-1Kelty Hearts

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Kelty Hearts win (53%).

Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts

  1. Edinburgh City32%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Kelty Hearts53%

1.25 expected goals for Edinburgh City

1.70 expected goals for Kelty Hearts

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Kelty Hearts has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 15% and a Edinburgh City win at 32%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals64%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.