Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score (after extra time)

Brora Rangers3-1Cowdenbeath

The model gave this result 15%. Its most likely result was a Brora Rangers win (45%).

Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath

  1. Brora Rangers45%
  2. Draw15%
  3. Cowdenbeath40%

1.61 expected goals for Brora Rangers

1.31 expected goals for Cowdenbeath

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 45%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.