Probably Football

Matches

FA Cup (Scotland)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Bonnyton Thistle0-3Clachnacuddin

The model's most likely result happened: a Clachnacuddin win (43%).

Bonnyton Thistle vs Clachnacuddin

  1. Bonnyton Thistle41%
  2. Draw16%
  3. Clachnacuddin43%

1.50 expected goals for Bonnyton Thistle

1.40 expected goals for Clachnacuddin

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 43%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.