Probably Football

Matches

CAF Champions League (International)

Sunday 25 October, 08:00

Final score

Simba3-015 de Agosto

The model's most likely result happened: a Simba win (90%).

Simba vs 15 de Agosto

  1. Simba90%
  2. Draw7%
  3. 15 de Agosto3%

2.59 expected goals for Simba

0.70 expected goals for 15 de Agosto

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Simba the clear favourite: 90% to win. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 35%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals42%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.