Wednesday 28 October, 13:00
Final score
Petrolina3-11º de Maio
The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a 1º de Maio win (38%).
Petrolina vs 1º de Maio
- Petrolina29%
- Draw33%
- 1º de Maio38%
1.02 expected goals for Petrolina
1.16 expected goals for 1º de Maio
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals65%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals18%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen
- Both teams score48%
- Petrolina or draw62%
- Draw or 1º de Maio71%
- No draw67%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.