Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Sunday 25 October, 13:00

Final score

Salgueiro0-1Petrolina

The model gave this result 21%. Its most likely result was a Salgueiro win (45%).

Salgueiro vs Petrolina

  1. Salgueiro45%
  2. Draw34%
  3. Petrolina21%

1.17 expected goals for Salgueiro

0.77 expected goals for Petrolina

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Salgueiro has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 34% and a Petrolina win at 21%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals58%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals13%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.