Facilnet vs 1º de Maio

Facilnet45%
Draw28%
1º de Maio27%

1.59 expected goals for Facilnet

1.23 expected goals for 1º de Maio

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Facilnet has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a 1º de Maio win at 27%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Facilnet or draw74%
Draw or 1º de Maio55%
No draw72%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.