Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Sunday 25 October, 13:00

Final score

Afogados2-0Ferroviario do Cabo

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Ferroviario do Cabo win (43%).

Afogados vs Ferroviario do Cabo

  1. Afogados28%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Ferroviario do Cabo43%

1.26 expected goals for Afogados

1.50 expected goals for Ferroviario do Cabo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ferroviario do Cabo has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Afogados win at 28%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.