Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Saturday 24 October, 14:00

Final score

Ipojuca1-1Vera Cruz

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Ipojuca win (54%).

Ipojuca vs Vera Cruz

  1. Ipojuca54%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Vera Cruz21%

2.00 expected goals for Ipojuca

1.29 expected goals for Vera Cruz

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ipojuca has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Vera Cruz win at 21%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals42%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.