Saturday 24 October, 13:00
Final score
Ypiranga PE1-0Cha Grande
The model's most likely result happened: a Ypiranga PE win (38%).
Ypiranga PE vs Cha Grande
- Ypiranga PE38%
- Draw29%
- Cha Grande33%
1.43 expected goals for Ypiranga PE
1.32 expected goals for Cha Grande
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals77%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Ypiranga PE or draw68%
- Draw or Cha Grande62%
- No draw71%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.