Probably Football

Matches

Pernambucano - 1 (Brazil)

Saturday 24 October, 13:00

Final score

Íbis5-2Guarany de Sobral

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Guarany de Sobral win (42%).

Íbis vs Guarany de Sobral

  1. Íbis29%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Guarany de Sobral42%

1.32 expected goals for Íbis

1.53 expected goals for Guarany de Sobral

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Guarany de Sobral has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Íbis win at 29%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.