Atlético PE vs Serrano PE

Atlético PE42%
Draw28%
Serrano PE30%

1.60 expected goals for Atlético PE

1.37 expected goals for Serrano PE

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Atlético PE has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Serrano PE win at 30%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Atlético PE or draw70%
Draw or Serrano PE58%
No draw72%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.