Tuesday 27 October, 14:00
Final score
Telstar0-2Almere City FC
The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Telstar win (55%).
Telstar vs Almere City FC
- Telstar55%
- Draw14%
- Almere City FC31%
2.09 expected goals for Telstar
1.21 expected goals for Almere City FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Telstar the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals66%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals42%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen
- Both teams score57%
- Telstar or draw68%
- Draw or Almere City FC45%
- No draw86%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.5 for Telstar and 4.5 for Almere City FC
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.5 expected
1.5 for Telstar and 2.0 for Almere City FC
- Over 3.5 cards47%
- Over 4.5 cards28%
- Over 5.5 cards15%
Shots
29.7 expected
14.6 for Telstar and 15.2 for Almere City FC
- Over 20.5 shots89%
- Over 22.5 shots82%
- Over 24.5 shots74%
Fouls
22.6 expected
11.0 for Telstar and 11.6 for Almere City FC
- Over 20.5 fouls64%
- Over 22.5 fouls49%
- Over 24.5 fouls34%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.