Roda vs De Graafschap

Roda50%
Draw14%
De Graafschap36%

1.57 expected goals for Roda

1.04 expected goals for De Graafschap

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Roda has the edge (50%), but not by much: a draw is at 14% and a De Graafschap win at 36%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals74%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score54%
Roda or draw64%
Draw or De Graafschap50%
No draw86%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.8 for Roda and 4.3 for De Graafschap

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.6 for Roda and 2.3 for De Graafschap

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.7 expected

17.1 for Roda and 10.6 for De Graafschap

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

26.9 expected

13.4 for Roda and 13.5 for De Graafschap

Over 20.5 fouls87%
Over 22.5 fouls77%
Over 24.5 fouls65%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.