Probably Football

Matches

KNVB Beker (Netherlands)

Wednesday 28 October, 14:00

Final score

Quick Boys4-0Eemdijk

The model's most likely result happened: a Quick Boys win (76%).

Quick Boys vs Eemdijk

  1. Quick Boys76%
  2. Draw4%
  3. Eemdijk20%

2.98 expected goals for Quick Boys

1.02 expected goals for Eemdijk

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Quick Boys the clear favourite: 76% to win. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals74%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals57%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals37%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.