SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht

SC Genemuiden70%
Draw7%
Dordrecht23%

2.56 expected goals for SC Genemuiden

0.98 expected goals for Dordrecht

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes SC Genemuiden the clear favourite: 70% to win. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
Over 2.5 goals69%It happened
Over 3.5 goals47%It happened
Over 4.5 goals28%It happened

Both teams score56%
SC Genemuiden or draw77%
Draw or Dordrecht30%
No draw93%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

4.4 for SC Genemuiden and 5.5 for Dordrecht

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.4 for SC Genemuiden and 2.2 for Dordrecht

Over 3.5 cards48%
Over 4.5 cards29%
Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

32.4 expected

12.9 for SC Genemuiden and 19.5 for Dordrecht

Over 20.5 shots93%
Over 22.5 shots88%
Over 24.5 shots82%

Fouls

23.5 expected

11.3 for SC Genemuiden and 12.2 for Dordrecht

Over 20.5 fouls70%
Over 22.5 fouls56%
Over 24.5 fouls41%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.