Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen

Excelsior Maassluis21%
Draw15%
Heerenveen64%

0.89 expected goals for Excelsior Maassluis

1.90 expected goals for Heerenveen

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Heerenveen the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
Over 2.5 goals61%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Excelsior Maassluis or draw36%
Draw or Heerenveen78%
No draw85%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.