Wednesday 28 October, 12:00
Final score
Roskilde1-2Aarhus
The model's most likely result happened: a Aarhus win (69%).
Roskilde vs Aarhus
- Roskilde19%
- Draw12%
- Aarhus69%
1.32 expected goals for Roskilde
1.86 expected goals for Aarhus
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Aarhus the clear favourite: 69% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Roskilde or draw31%
- Draw or Aarhus81%
- No draw88%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.