Probably Football

Matches

DBU Pokalen (Denmark)

Wednesday 28 October, 12:00

Final score

Esbjerg0-1FC Nordsjaelland

The model's most likely result happened: a FC Nordsjaelland win (72%).

Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland

  1. Esbjerg17%
  2. Draw11%
  3. FC Nordsjaelland72%

1.24 expected goals for Esbjerg

1.97 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Nordsjaelland the clear favourite: 72% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals68%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.