Probably Football

Matches

Cup (Croatia)

Wednesday 28 October, 08:00

Final score

Karlovac 19191-4HNK Rijeka

The model's most likely result happened: a HNK Rijeka win (54%).

Karlovac 1919 vs HNK Rijeka

  1. Karlovac 191923%
  2. Draw23%
  3. HNK Rijeka54%

1.00 expected goals for Karlovac 1919

1.82 expected goals for HNK Rijeka

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

HNK Rijeka has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Karlovac 1919 win at 23%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals31%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.