Sunday 25 October, 16:00
Final score
Manta FC0-2Deportivo Cuenca
The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Manta FC win (36%).
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca
- Manta FC36%
- Draw30%
- Deportivo Cuenca34%
0.89 expected goals for Manta FC
1.04 expected goals for Deportivo Cuenca
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals58%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals40%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals13%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen
- Both teams score47%
- Manta FC or draw66%
- Draw or Deportivo Cuenca64%
- No draw69%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.4 expected
5.0 for Manta FC and 4.4 for Deportivo Cuenca
- Over 8.5 corners56%
- Over 9.5 corners45%
- Over 10.5 corners36%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.8 for Manta FC and 2.1 for Deportivo Cuenca
- Over 3.5 cards55%
- Over 4.5 cards36%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
23.9 expected
11.8 for Manta FC and 12.2 for Deportivo Cuenca
- Over 20.5 shots68%
- Over 22.5 shots56%
- Over 24.5 shots44%
Fouls
24.0 expected
12.6 for Manta FC and 11.4 for Deportivo Cuenca
- Over 20.5 fouls73%
- Over 22.5 fouls59%
- Over 24.5 fouls44%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.