Probably Football

Matches

Liga Pro (Ecuador)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

LDU de Quito1-2Macara

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a LDU de Quito win (46%).

LDU de Quito vs Macara

  1. LDU de Quito46%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Macara24%

1.15 expected goals for LDU de Quito

0.90 expected goals for Macara

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

LDU de Quito has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Macara win at 24%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals62%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals41%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.3 for LDU de Quito and 4.5 for Macara

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.7 for LDU de Quito and 2.3 for Macara

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards37%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

29.1 expected

15.1 for LDU de Quito and 13.9 for Macara

  1. Over 20.5 shots88%
  2. Over 22.5 shots80%
  3. Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

24.4 expected

13.0 for LDU de Quito and 11.4 for Macara

  1. Over 20.5 fouls76%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls62%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.