Probably Football

Matches

Liga Pro (Ecuador)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Independiente del Valle0-0Universidad Catolica

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a Independiente del Valle win (60%).

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica

  1. Independiente del Valle60%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Universidad Catolica16%

2.17 expected goals for Independiente del Valle

1.18 expected goals for Universidad Catolica

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Independiente del Valle the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 61%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals43%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.9 for Independiente del Valle and 3.9 for Universidad Catolica

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

3.4 expected

1.4 for Independiente del Valle and 2.0 for Universidad Catolica

  1. Over 3.5 cards43%
  2. Over 4.5 cards25%
  3. Over 5.5 cards13%

Shots

24.9 expected

14.7 for Independiente del Valle and 10.3 for Universidad Catolica

  1. Over 20.5 shots73%
  2. Over 22.5 shots62%
  3. Over 24.5 shots50%

Fouls

20.5 expected

9.6 for Independiente del Valle and 10.9 for Universidad Catolica

  1. Over 20.5 fouls48%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls33%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls20%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.