1º de Agosto vs Virunga

1º de Agosto51%
Draw26%
Virunga23%

1.32 expected goals for 1º de Agosto

1.09 expected goals for Virunga

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

1º de Agosto has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Virunga win at 23%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance, and both teams scoring, 38%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals70%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals38%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Both teams score38%
1º de Agosto or draw77%
Draw or Virunga49%
No draw74%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.