Nouadhibou vs San-Pédro

Nouadhibou44%
Draw32%
San-Pédro24%

1.28 expected goals for Nouadhibou

1.11 expected goals for San-Pédro

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Nouadhibou has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a San-Pédro win at 24%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance, and both teams scoring, 35%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
Over 2.5 goals36%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Both teams score35%
Nouadhibou or draw76%
Draw or San-Pédro56%
No draw68%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.