Probably Football

Matches

CAF Champions League (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score (on penalties)

Al Merreikh1-0Horoya

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Al Merreikh win (40%).

Al Merreikh vs Horoya

  1. Al Merreikh40%
  2. Draw34%
  3. Horoya26%

0.97 expected goals for Al Merreikh

0.92 expected goals for Horoya

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 33% chance, and both teams scoring, 36%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals84%
  2. Over 1.5 goals57%
  3. Over 2.5 goals33%
  4. Over 3.5 goals12%
  5. Over 4.5 goals4%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.