Probably Football

Matches

CAF Confederation Cup (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

ASC Kara1-0Diarra

The model's most likely result happened: a ASC Kara win (54%).

ASC Kara vs Diarra

  1. ASC Kara54%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Diarra22%

1.64 expected goals for ASC Kara

1.31 expected goals for Diarra

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

ASC Kara has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Diarra win at 22%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 40%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.