CAF Confederation Cup (International)
Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
ASC Kara1-0Diarra
The model's most likely result happened: a ASC Kara win (54%).
ASC Kara vs Diarra
- ASC Kara54%
- Draw24%
- Diarra22%
1.64 expected goals for ASC Kara
1.31 expected goals for Diarra
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
ASC Kara has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Diarra win at 22%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 40%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen
- Both teams score40%
- ASC Kara or draw78%
- Draw or Diarra47%
- No draw76%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.