Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score (on penalties)

Kaizer Chiefs1-0Red Arrows

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Kaizer Chiefs win (51%).

Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows

Kaizer Chiefs51%
Draw28%
Red Arrows21%

1.12 expected goals for Kaizer Chiefs

0.87 expected goals for Red Arrows

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Kaizer Chiefs has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Red Arrows win at 21%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance, and both teams scoring, 36%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Over 4.5 goals5%

Both teams score36%
Kaizer Chiefs or draw79%
Draw or Red Arrows49%
No draw72%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.