Probably Football

Matches

CAF Confederation Cup (International)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Al Ahly4-0Kitara

The model's most likely result happened: a Al Ahly win (77%).

Al Ahly vs Kitara

  1. Al Ahly77%
  2. Draw20%
  3. Kitara3%

2.31 expected goals for Al Ahly

0.68 expected goals for Kitara

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al Ahly the clear favourite: 77% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 37%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.